Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.039900 0.043305 0.046873 0.050893 0.055299 0.059987 0.065357
2026-01-11 0.033335 0.038211 0.043637 0.050137 0.057732 0.066349 0.076897
2026-01-18 0.028804 0.034557 0.041289 0.049786 0.060271 0.072851 0.089180
2026-01-25 0.025119 0.031308 0.038867 0.048837 0.061734 0.077976 0.100171
2026-02-01 0.021979 0.028296 0.036295 0.047254 0.062020 0.081419 0.109160
2026-02-08 0.019551 0.025892 0.034179 0.045923 0.062328 0.084716 0.118072
2026-02-15 0.017607 0.023911 0.032387 0.044765 0.062630 0.087870 0.126917
2026-02-22 0.016429 0.022844 0.031702 0.045012 0.064834 0.093779 0.140222
2026-03-01 0.014932 0.021191 0.030035 0.043660 0.064512 0.095867 0.147829
2026-03-08 0.013296 0.019205 0.027723 0.041134 0.062155 0.094589 0.149899
2026-03-15 0.012309 0.018097 0.026608 0.040303 0.062297 0.097131 0.158299
2026-03-22 0.011783 0.017635 0.026418 0.040868 0.064656 0.103359 0.173411
2026-03-29 0.011217 0.017089 0.026085 0.041221 0.066769 0.109490 0.189248
2026-04-05 0.010519 0.016293 0.025307 0.040792 0.067550 0.113458 0.201718
2026-04-12 0.009933 0.015634 0.024698 0.040591 0.068694 0.118148 0.216032
2026-04-19 0.009297 0.014850 0.023829 0.039872 0.068853 0.121070 0.227283
2026-04-26 0.008619 0.013951 0.022708 0.038625 0.067945 0.121935 0.234559
2026-05-03 0.008034 0.013173 0.021739 0.037568 0.067286 0.123181 0.242695
2026-05-10 0.007522 0.012487 0.020881 0.036645 0.066788 0.124667 0.251450
2026-05-17 0.007237 0.012174 0.020650 0.036845 0.068436 0.130470 0.269988
2026-05-24 0.006772 0.011517 0.019767 0.035763 0.067488 0.130970 0.276965
2026-05-31 0.006198 0.010637 0.018436 0.033738 0.064511 0.127058 0.273605
2026-06-07 0.005864 0.010170 0.017831 0.033072 0.064223 0.128720 0.283205